Briefing Note
Dynamic partial surrenders – deep dive into modelling approaches
21 November 2023
“Partial surrenders” refers to an individual exercising the option to withdraw a portion of the value of a life insurance investment policy without full termination. This option is generally applicable for unit-linked and variable annuity business, and poses a risk to insurers. In this paper, we cover some approaches to help insurers use the best option, from a relatively simplified static partial surrender assumption, to dynamic partial surrenders, both on deterministic and stochastic bases. We discuss:
- Potential drivers of partial surrenders in a life insurance policy
- Options to model partial surrenders, particularly in response to the economic factors
- Modelling of dynamic partial surrenders
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